DEFINITION:

Scenarios provide a means for raising the awareness of decision-makers towards the implications of plausible possible futures, Scenario-based planning tells a series of consistent stories about the future outcome of existing paradigms and trends.

(Source: ACARE Domain 1001)

SUBDOMAINS:

1. Identification of drivers of change (technological, demographic, cultural, political)
2. Elaboration of basic trends (societal, cultural)
3. Key uncertainties – derivation, analysis
4. Scenario generation
5. Scenario analysis
6. Drivers for future research – agenda setting and evaluation